Tuesday, September 09, 2008

I'm Back.

I haven't blogged on politics in years, but they are my passion, and I decided I should come back.

To start, I am a real life friend of "Iamned." Iamned has never had any job nor has he driven a car. He spends all of his free time bragging about how people are spending a lot and staring at, but never owning, any stock. He actually believes most of what he says.

I won't spend all of my time attacking him though, because that would be too easy. The title "Cal-Lib" means I am from California and I am a Liberal/Libertarian. I could easily be defined as both.

I believe Obama will still win, even though McCain has had a remarkable RNC bounce. The Palin pick was a poor choice for McCain, because it showed that he was not a maverick willing to work with both sides, but someone looking to pander to the Religious Right, and hoping to steal the 0.1% of Hillary's voters that voted to her just to have a woman in power.

There were many more viable candidates for him. By choosing Palin he has lost the elections. Moderates and independents will run to Obama. And if the Democrats can get out the word that Biden's wife and two of his kids died in a car crash and he raised his two boys alone as a single dad, the whole Palin being the mother thing won't help her anymore. There is sexism against single fathers. Mothers are assumed to be the better parents. Mothers win child custody a lot more than fathers. The assumption that Palin "runs the household" because she is a mother is sexist.

I know some will ask: Why does someone who claims to be a Libertarian support Obama?
I'm not a LP member. The LP is for people who want to shoot deer with AK-47s. I do believe in the 2nd amendment, but there have to be some limits.

I follow the beliefs of Market Liberalism, generally, which means market solutions for environmental problems such as Cap and Trade, which has proven successful in the US in combatting Sulfur emissions.

And anyone living in the 14th District of CA House should vote for Brian Holtz. He represents a Libertarian who is willing compromise with other parties.


I suspect Obama will be ahead by next Monday, or perhaps sooner. The polls have almost always shown Obama ahead. Mccain on Realclearpolitics overall is 2.9 points ahead, his highest ever. But Obama had nearly a 7 point average lead after his bounce. The lead will be Obama's in a week or less. People are going to get tired of Palin talking about how she is better than everyone else because she's from a "small town."

People will realize she is a complete joke, and the VP Debate will make her look horrible.

I think the Presidential Debates will be a wash. Obama is a more eloquent speaker, but McCain has more experience, as he has ran for president many times.

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