It was around +3.2 McCain yesterday, and 2.4 today.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html
There is one +10 McCain poll that is way off from any other. It is an outlier, so I will throw it out. Everything else is much closer.
Taking away an outlier poll gives McCain a +1.3, which is probably more accurate. The bounce may be gone in just a few days.
Here is some advice to the Obama campaign.
DO NOT GIVE IN TO THE RELIGIOUS RIGHT:
They are what is wrong with America, using terms like "Moral Values" to define denying gays any rights.
Consistently, polls have shown that about two thirds support Gay Marriage or Civil Unions, only one third not wanting either. For a lot of people I think the issue is the actual word "marriage" and not anything against gays.
Therefore, Obama should speak in favor of civil unions. Those that support Civil Unions would be happy, and the Gay Marriage supporters would be glad he's even bringing the issue up.
GO FURTHER TO THE RIGHT ON GUN CONTROL:
Obama admitting that gun control is an individual right protected by the 2nd amendment is a big step for Democrats, who tend to want to ban guns for no real reason. He should stop supporting ridiculous city-wide bans as well, and many gun-toting Libertarians may move to Obama.
GO FURTHER TO THE RIGHT FISCALLY:
He's already doing this one by supporting charter schools, which is a good thing. He needs to be near Bill Clinton fiscally. A lot of socialist-Democrats hated Bill Clinton for being "too much like a Republican on the economy." That's exactly why I liked him. The socialist-wingnuts of the Left are a very small part and Obama should not pander to them. I hope he gives up the windfall tax idea as well. I am glad that he did not support the joke that was the Gas Tax Holiday, showing he understand economics more than either Clinton or McCain. He also shows a willingness to change. He changes his position because he approved it in 2000 for his state, and it didn't work! Wow! That's a relief from people like Bush, who don't care about facts.
MAKE NOT USING PUBLIC FINANCING LOOK GOOD:
I am glad he didn't take public money. The public financing is a fraud to support the two-party system, and Obama has shown that his support from many small donors can be more powerful than that. McCain is trying to make him look bad for that, but who can blame him? When you can raise as much money as Obama, there's no reason to give it up. And it's coming from small donors, not lobbyists. He needs to explain that he didn't want to take the taxpayers money that he didn't need. That would make him look good to me at least.
His economic advisor is seen as a centrist and not anti-capitalist at all. Hopefully Obama will be Bill Clinton without the sex scandals.
2 comments:
The leadership of the Libertarian Party of Alaska endorsed Palin for Governor in 2006. She spoke to two LP meetings that year at their invite. Even her Libertarian opponent in the race Billy Toien endorsed her the last 3 days, telling his supporters to "vote for Sarah."
I wonder if the Libertarian Party of Illinois has ever supported Obama? Somehow, I think not.
The Libertarian party does not represent most Libertarians. Aren't you the guy who thinks Rudy Giuliani is a libertarian? GTFO my blog.
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